AP Ranking Top 25: What Most People Get Wrong About the Poll

AP Ranking Top 25: What Most People Get Wrong About the Poll

The AP Top 25 is basically the heartbeat of college sports. If you’ve ever sat in a sports bar on a Sunday afternoon, you know the vibe. People are glued to their phones, hitting refresh, waiting for the Associated Press to drop the latest numbers at exactly 2:00 PM Eastern. It’s a ritual. But honestly, it’s also a source of pure, unadulterated chaos.

People get so worked up. Why is Arizona still number one? How did Michigan drop two spots after one loss to Wisconsin? It’s enough to make your head spin. But that’s the beauty of the AP ranking top 25. It’s not some cold, dead algorithm like the NET or a computer model. It’s human.

Right now, in January 2026, the college basketball scene is looking wild. Arizona is sitting pretty at the top with 60 first-place votes, but Iowa State and UConn are breathing down their necks. Meanwhile, Nebraska and Vanderbilt—yes, you read that right—are crashing the top 10 party with 16-0 and 17-0 records. It feels like 1966 all over again for the Huskers.

The Human Element: Why the Poll Isn't a Science

Most fans treat the AP ranking top 25 like it’s a mathematical certainty. It isn't. Not even close. You have 61 sportswriters and broadcasters from across the country, each with their own biases, regional ties, and "eye test" philosophies.

Each voter submits a ballot. A first-place vote gets 25 points, a second-place gets 24, and so on. It’s a simple aggregate. But think about the pressure. One voter might value a "quality loss" on the road, while another thinks a loss is a loss, period. This is why you see such weird jumps. Last week, Virginia skyrocketed seven spots to No. 16 because they swept their ACC games, while Alabama tumbled five spots because they couldn't handle the heat in Nashville.

It’s messy.

The AP actually tells its voters to avoid regional bias. They want them to watch games from the Big 12 to the Mountain West. But let’s be real. If you’re a beat writer in North Carolina, you’re naturally going to see more of the ACC than the WCC. This "humanity" is exactly what makes the poll so much more fun than a computer ranking. Computers don't care about momentum. Humans do.

The 2026 Basketball Shakeup

Take a look at the current landscape. We’ve got:

  • Arizona (1): The undisputed kings for now, but that Cincinnati game is looming.
  • Iowa State (2): Moved up a spot because Michigan finally blinked.
  • UConn (3): The Huskies are lurking, looking like a team that could repeat.
  • Vanderbilt (10): The biggest surprise of the decade. They haven't been this high since the Obama administration.

It's not just about the top dogs, though. Florida just snuck back in at No. 19 after being ranked No. 3 in the preseason. Talk about a roller coaster. Then you have Seton Hall making their first appearance in four years at No. 25.

Football vs. Basketball: Different Seasons, Same Drama

While we're deep in the hoops season now, we can't ignore what just happened in football. The final AP ranking top 25 for the 2025 season was a total fever dream. Indiana—yes, the Hoosiers—finished as the No. 1 team in the regular season after a 15-0 run.

Who saw that coming?

The football poll has a different weight because of the College Football Playoff. Even though the AP doesn't decide the playoff, it sets the narrative. When the AP voters kept Indiana at the top over blue bloods like Georgia and Ohio State, it forced the CFP committee to take them seriously.

In football, the poll is about "Who did you beat?" In basketball, it's often "How do you look right now?" This distinction is key to understanding why teams move the way they do.

Does the Poll Even Matter Anymore?

There's a growing crowd of people who say the AP poll is obsolete. They point to the NET in basketball or the CFP rankings in football. "The AP is just a popularity contest," they claim.

Maybe.

But the popularity is the point. The AP ranking top 25 is the history of the sport. It’s what recruits look at. It’s what TV networks use to market their "Top 25 Matchup" on Tuesday nights. If you remove the AP poll, you lose the narrative thread that connects a random Tuesday in December to the madness of March.

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Common Misconceptions About the Rankings

The biggest myth? That the poll is a "prediction" of who will win the championship. It's not. It's a snapshot.

Another one: "Voters don't watch the games." While some might rely on box scores more than others, most of these journalists are grinders. They are in the arenas. They see the bench energy and the defensive rotations that a computer might miss.

Then there's the "preseason bias." This one is actually kinda true. If a team starts at No. 5, they can stay in the rankings just by winning games they’re supposed to win. A team that starts unranked has to do something heroic, like Nebraska going 16-0, just to get into the top 10. It's an uphill battle for the "little guys."

Actionable Insights for Fans

If you want to actually understand the AP ranking top 25 instead of just getting mad at it, here’s how to track it like an expert:

  1. Watch the "Others Receiving Votes": This is where the next week's Top 25 is born. Look at teams like Houston (in football) or SMU (in basketball). If they are getting 50+ points, they are one win away from the big list.
  2. Follow the Individual Ballots: The AP is transparent. You can see exactly how every single writer voted. If you think your team is being disrespected, find out which specific voter left them off their list.
  3. Compare with the Coaches Poll: Usually, the coaches are more conservative. If the AP has a team at 10 and the Coaches Poll has them at 15, it means the media is buying into the "hype" faster than the people actually on the sidelines.
  4. Contextualize the Losses: A three-point loss to a Top 5 team on the road rarely drops a team more than a spot or two. A 20-point blowout to an unranked team? That’s a death sentence for your ranking.

The poll will never be perfect. It’s a collective opinion of 61 different people with 61 different views on what "good" looks like. But without the AP ranking top 25, we’d just be staring at spreadsheets. And where’s the fun in that?

Stay tuned for the next update. Monday at 2:00 PM. Don't forget to hit refresh.