Canada Dollar to Rupee Explained: Why the Exchange Rate is Shifting Right Now

Canada Dollar to Rupee Explained: Why the Exchange Rate is Shifting Right Now

If you’ve checked the canada dollar to rupee rate lately, you probably noticed things are getting a bit spicy. One day you're looking at 64, the next it's pushing 66, and if you’re trying to send money back to Punjab or Hyderabad, that tiny gap feels like a mountain.

Money is weird. Especially when it’s traveling across the world.

Right now, as of mid-January 2026, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) is hovering around the 65.32 INR mark. It’s been a wild ride since the start of the year. We saw it open at roughly 65.51, dip down to a low of 64.16 around January 11th, and then claw its way back up.

Why the roller coaster? Well, it’s not just one thing. It’s a messy mix of oil prices, interest rate pauses in Ottawa, and how the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is feeling about inflation this week.

The CAD to INR Reality Check: What’s Actually Happening?

Most people think exchange rates are just numbers on a screen. Honestly, they’re more like a pulse check for two different countries.

In Canada, the Bank of Canada (BoC) has been sitting on its hands. Governor Tiff Macklem and the crew kept the policy rate steady at 2.25% back in December 2025. They’re basically waiting to see if the Canadian economy can handle the "structural adjustments" happening with trade.

Meanwhile, India is playing a different game. The RBI has been keeping their repo rate much higher, around 5.50%. When India offers higher interest rates than Canada, investors sometimes find the Rupee more attractive, which can put downward pressure on the CAD to INR pair.

But here is the kicker: Canada’s population growth just hit a wall.

For the first time since the 1950s, Canada is looking at near-zero population growth in 2026. This is huge. It changes how the GDP grows—shifting from "more people spending money" to "each person needs to be more productive." If the Canadian economy feels sluggish because of this, the Loonie might struggle to stay above that 65-rupee ceiling.

Why Oil Still Pulls the Strings

You can't talk about the Canadian Dollar without talking about crude. It’s the "Petrodollar" for a reason.

When global oil prices climb, the CAD usually hitches a ride. India, on the other hand, is one of the world's biggest oil importers. High oil prices are great for Canada’s export balance but a total headache for India’s inflation.

  • Scenario A: Oil goes up → CAD strengthens, INR weakens → You get more rupees for your dollar.
  • Scenario B: Oil crashes → CAD sinks → Your CAD buy significantly fewer rupees.

The Hidden Impact of Remittances

If you’re a student in Brampton or a tech worker in Vancouver, you’re part of a massive financial engine. Remittances to India have more than doubled over the last decade. We’re talking over $118 billion USD flowing into India annually.

📖 Related: Finding the Right Phone Number for Midas: What Most People Get Wrong

A massive chunk of that now comes from "Advanced Economies" like Canada, the US, and the UK, rather than the Gulf nations that used to dominate.

Maharashtra and Kerala are currently the biggest winners here, soaking up a huge percentage of those Canadian dollars. But for the person actually sending the money, the "real" rate isn't what you see on Google.

Watch Out for the "Hidden" Spread

Banks are notorious for this. You see 65.32 on a currency converter, but your bank offers you 63.90. They call it a "convenience fee," but let’s be real—it’s a markup.

Fintech platforms like Wise or Remitly have been eating the banks' lunch lately because they use the mid-market rate. In 2026, the gap between "bank rates" and "app rates" is where most people either save or lose thousands of rupees on a large transfer.

Will the Rupee Gain Ground?

There is a lot of talk about India’s GDP growth hitting 6.5% or 6.6% this fiscal year. That’s fast. Faster than Canada’s projected 1.3%.

Usually, the faster-growing economy sees its currency strengthen. However, India also deals with a trade deficit—they buy more from the world than they sell. This acts as a natural brake on the Rupee.

If you are waiting for 70 INR for 1 CAD, you might be waiting a while. Analysts at Scotiabank and RBC suggest that as long as the Bank of Canada stays in this "prolonged pause" on interest rates, the CAD will likely stay in a range between 63 and 67 INR for most of 2026.

👉 See also: Where My Illinois Refund Is Hiding: Why Your Tax Money Is Taking So Long

How to Handle Your Money Transfers Right Now

Don't just hit "send" on payday. Timing the canada dollar to rupee market requires a bit of strategy.

  1. Use Limit Orders: Some transfer services let you set a target rate. If the CAD hits 66 INR while you're sleeping, the transfer triggers automatically.
  2. Monitor the BoC Announcements: The next big interest rate decision is January 28, 2026. Expect volatility that week.
  3. Avoid Weekend Transfers: Markets are closed, so providers often "pad" their rates with extra margins to protect themselves against Monday morning jumps.
  4. Look at the 5-Year Trend: If you look at the historical data, the Loonie was worth about 59 INR back in early 2025. We are currently at a relatively high point. If you have a major expense coming up in India, locking in rates above 65 is historically a decent move.

Moving Forward With Your Finances

The exchange rate is a moving target, but the fundamentals are clear. Canada is navigating a low-growth, low-immigration year, while India is trying to keep its high-growth engine from overheating.

Keep an eye on the 10-year bond yields in both countries. If the spread between Canadian and Indian yields narrows, the Rupee often gains strength.

To get the best value, check the "mid-market" rate first—that’s the one you see on Google—and then compare it to your transfer provider’s "buy rate." If the difference is more than 1%, you’re likely paying too much in hidden fees. Focus on platforms that offer transparent, flat-fee structures to ensure more of your hard-earned money actually makes it across the border.