Florida in January is a bit of a gamble. People expect 80 degrees and sun, but honestly, it’s the month where the Space Coast shows its teeth. Right now, Cocoa Beach is sitting at a cool 53°F tonight, and if you’re looking at the cocoa beach fl 10 day forecast, you need to prepare for a literal rollercoaster.
We aren't talking about the kind of rides you find at the theme parks an hour west. We’re talking about a 20-degree temperature swing in the span of 24 hours.
The Immediate Outlook: Sun, Clouds, and a Sudden Chill
Saturday, January 17, starts off decent enough. You’ve got a high of 68°F and it’ll be partly sunny. It’s that classic "light jacket on the sand" kind of day. But keep an eye on Sunday. A front is pushing through, bringing a 40% chance of rain and a high of 67°F before the floor drops out.
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By Monday, January 19, the high struggles to even hit 55°F.
That’s the "real" Florida winter. Locals will be in parkas; tourists from Ohio will still be in shorts, though they'll be shivering. The wind is the real culprit here. On Sunday, expect gusts hitting 21 mph from the west. When that wind shifts to the north on Monday, that 55°F is going to feel a lot sharper than it looks on paper.
Mid-Week Recovery and the Return of the Humidity
If you can tough out the early-week chill, things start looking up. Tuesday warms slightly to 60°F, and by Wednesday, we’re back into the high 60s.
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Then comes Thursday, January 22. This is the day to keep your umbrella handy. We’re looking at a 65% chance of rain—and not just a quick tropical sprinking. It's forecast to be a soggy day with a high of 70°F. The silver lining? That rain is pushing in warmer air.
The 10-Day Horizon: A Surprising Warm Front
Here is the kicker: the end of the 10-day stretch looks like a completely different season.
- Friday (Jan 23): 71°F and partly sunny.
- Saturday (Jan 24): 72°F and clear skies.
- Sunday (Jan 25): A peak of 73°F, though the clouds start rolling back in.
Basically, if you are planning a beach day, the window between Friday the 23rd and Sunday the 25th is your best bet for actual Vitamin D. Just watch out for Monday, January 26—the humidity spikes to a whopping 93%, and showers are likely to return as the cycle starts all over again.
What About the Water?
Don’t let the air temp fool you; the Atlantic is holding onto some heat, but it’s "tepid" at best. The current sea temperature is hovering around 68°F. For context, that is nearly 4 degrees colder than the historical average for mid-January. If you’re planning on surfing the 2.5-foot swells expected early next week, you’re going to want at least a 3/2mm wetsuit.
Unless you're a polar bear, "just a swimsuit" is a bold (and likely short-lived) choice right now.
Actionable Coastal Strategies
Stop checking the app every five minutes and just pack for three different climates. You need a windbreaker for the 21 mph gusts on Sunday, a hoodie for the 44°F Monday morning low, and a t-shirt for the 73°F peak next weekend.
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If you’re heading to the Cocoa Beach Pier, Sunday and Monday are going to be rough for fishing or lounging due to the north-northwest winds making the intracoastal waters choppy to rough. Save your outdoor dining at the Pier for next Saturday when the wind dies down to a gentle 7 mph.
Plan your heavy outdoor activities for the back half of this forecast—nature is basically telling you to stay inside and grab a coffee near Minutemen Causeway until the middle of next week.