Dallas Fort Worth Weather Forecast: What Most People Get Wrong

Dallas Fort Worth Weather Forecast: What Most People Get Wrong

Honestly, if you've spent more than a week in North Texas, you know the drill. You wake up in a t-shirt and by lunch, you're hunting for a parka because a "Blue Norther" just screamed through the Metroplex. It's basically a rite of passage here.

The current Dallas Fort Worth weather forecast is leaning hard into that classic winter roller coaster. Right now, as of Friday night, January 16, 2026, we're sitting at a crisp 43°F. It feels like 37°F because of a 7 mph northwest wind. It’s clear. It’s quiet. But don't let that fool you.

The Coldest Air of the Season is Moving In

Buckle up for Saturday. We are looking at the coldest morning we’ve seen so far this season. If you’re planning on hitting the Clearfork Farmers Market or grabbing coffee in Deep Ellum tomorrow morning, January 17, you’re going to feel it.

The high for Saturday is only hitting 44°F. That’s it. Compare that to today's high of 57°F, and you’re looking at a 13-degree drop for the daytime peak. The real kicker? The low is plummeting to 25°F.

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  • Saturday High: 44°F (Cloudy)
  • Saturday Low: 25°F (Clear night)
  • Wind: North at 13 mph

Is it going to snow? Probably not. I know, everyone sees "25 degrees" and starts dreaming of a winter wonderland (or panicking about the grid). While some models suggested a rogue snowflake northwest of the Metroplex, the air is just too dry. If anything falls, it'll likely be a stray flurry that evaporates before it even hits your windshield.

Sunday is for Shivering

Sunday morning, January 18, will be the true test of your home's insulation. We’re starting the day at 25°F again. However, the afternoon looks surprisingly decent. We’ll bounce back to a sunny 59°F. That’s a massive 34-degree swing in a single day. Classic Texas.

Looking at the Week Ahead

If you can survive the weekend freeze, the Dallas Fort Worth weather forecast for next week looks a bit more manageable, though a little soggy toward the end.

Monday stays fairly cool with a high of 51°F under partly sunny skies. By Tuesday, we’re back up to 55°F. The humidity starts creeping back in by Wednesday, January 21, as the wind shifts to the south. We’re looking at a high of 63°F, but that comes with a 20% to 35% chance of rain.

Rain chances actually ramp up significantly by the following weekend. Sunday, January 25, is currently showing a 65% chance of rain with a high of 50°F. If you have outdoor plans for that Sunday, you might want to move them to the Saturday before, which looks like a lighter 20% chance of showers.

Why DFW Weather is So Moody

A lot of people think the "Wait five minutes and it'll change" line is a cliché. It isn't. We are basically a massive flat bowling alley for air masses. Cold arctic air slides down from Canada with zero mountain ranges to stop it. Meanwhile, warm, moist air from the Gulf of Mexico is constantly trying to push north. When they fight, we get the chaos.

In 2026, we’re seeing a bit of a La Niña breakdown, which usually means more neutral conditions, but January is still January. Historically, this is our coldest month. The average high is usually around 57°F, and the low is 34°F. So, hitting 25°F this weekend is definitely a dip below the norm, but it’s not exactly "Snowpocalypse" territory.

Actionable Steps for the Weekend

  1. Drip those faucets: Since we’re hitting 25°F, it's worth it. Better safe than dealing with a burst pipe in the attic.
  2. Check your tires: Big temperature drops mean your PSI is going to plummet. If your "low tire" light isn't on yet, it probably will be by Sunday morning.
  3. The 3 P’s: People, pets, and plants. Bring the succulents inside and make sure the outdoor dogs have a warm, shielded spot.
  4. Layering is life: Saturday is a "heavy coat" day. Sunday is a "heavy coat in the morning, light jacket by 3 PM" day.

North Texas weather is a lot of things, but it’s rarely boring. Keep an eye on the northwest winds and enjoy the sun on Sunday afternoon—you'll have earned it after that Saturday chill.