IPO News Today Oct 2025: What Most People Get Wrong About the Fall Market

IPO News Today Oct 2025: What Most People Get Wrong About the Fall Market

The IPO market right now is basically a high-stakes game of "chicken." If you’ve been tracking ipo news today oct 2025, you know the vibe is tense but weirdly optimistic. Everyone is waiting for that one massive "bellwether" to blow the doors off the Nasdaq, but instead, we’re seeing a steady trickle of specialized tech and massive international plays. It's not the 2021 frenzy. Honestly, that’s probably a good thing.

People are obsessed with the "big names" like Stripe and Databricks, but the real story this October is happening in the trenches of biotech and specialized AI infrastructure. While the headlines scream about billion-dollar valuations, the smart money is looking at how companies are navigating a market that finally cares about things like "profitability" and "actual revenue." Imagine that.

The October Surge: Why Now?

Why is everyone suddenly piling into the public markets this month? It’s simple. We just came off a "red-hot summer" where 26 companies went public in July alone, and that momentum is spilling into the fall. By the time we hit the start of October, over 160 companies had already listed in 2025, easily beating the entire total for 2024.

The biggest move this month? Tata Capital Ltd. basically sucked all the oxygen out of the room with its ₹15,511 crore offering. It’s one of the largest financial listings we've seen in a while. Then you’ve got LG Electronics India hitting the BSE and NSE with a massive ₹11,607 crore issue. If you're looking for where the actual volume is, look toward India. They are leading the pack in deal count, while the US remains the king of total proceeds.

The Government Factor

It wasn't all smooth sailing. We actually had a federal government shutdown threat that forced companies like MapLight Therapeutics to use some pretty creative workarounds just to get their paperwork through. They managed to "tee up" their IPO on October 7th despite the chaos. It shows just how hungry these companies are to get out there before the window slams shut again.

Tech is Back, But It Looks Different

Remember when "tech" meant a flashy app with no clear way to make money? Those days are dead. The tech IPOs we’re seeing in ipo news today oct 2025 are heavy-hitters.

Take Navan (formerly TripActions). They finally took the plunge on October 30th after years of "will-they-won't-they" drama. But here’s the kicker: the stock actually dropped 20% on day one. It’s currently trading around $17, which is way below its $25 IPO price. It's a sobering reminder that just because you're a "unicorn" doesn't mean the public market is going to hand you a crown.

On the flip side, CoreWeave and Circle Internet Group have been the absolute stars of the year. CoreWeave, which basically leases out Nvidia GPUs for AI, is up nearly 185% since its debut. Circle, the guys behind the USDC stablecoin, saw their stock skyrocket from $31 to over $180. These aren't just software companies; they are the literal plumbing for the next decade of tech.

Why Some Giants Are Still Waiting

  • Stripe: They did a massive tender offer at a $91.5 billion valuation earlier this year. They basically don't need the cash, so they're content to let their employees sell shares on the secondary market for now.
  • Databricks: CEO Ali Ghodsi has been teasing a listing for ages. While they're doing $1 billion+ in revenue, they seem to be waiting for the absolute perfect window, likely late 2025 or early 2026.
  • Klarna: The Swedish "Buy Now, Pay Later" giant has been hit by market volatility and tariff concerns. They’ve paused, focusing on "sustainable growth" instead of a rushed listing.

The Biotech "Quiet" Boom

If you aren't looking at biotech, you're missing half the story. While the general public ignores it, names like Evommune and Sionna Therapeutics are raising hundreds of millions. Evommune filed for its IPO on October 10th to fund its immune drug work, eventually grabbing $150 million even with the federal shutdown looming.

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The FDA's shift toward "precision medicine" has made these companies incredibly attractive to institutional investors who are tired of the volatility in pure-play SaaS. These are companies with Phase 2 data and real paths to clinical success.

What Most People Get Wrong

Most retail investors think an IPO is a "get rich quick" ticket. It's not. Not anymore.

The median time to IPO for a company valued at over $500 million is now over 11 years. That is the longest wait in a decade. By the time these companies hit the NYSE or Nasdaq, they are mature, hardened, and often have very little "easy" growth left for the average person. You’re buying into a finished product, not a scrappy startup.

We're also seeing a massive wave of "take-privates." JAMF, the leader in Apple device management, went private this month for $2.2 billion. Think about that. A company that tripled its revenue since its IPO is being snatched up by private equity because the public markets are too fickle. It's a weird, fragmented reality where some companies are desperate to get in while others are desperate to get out.

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Investing in IPOs: What to Do Next

If you’re looking to play the IPO market this fall, you need a strategy that isn't based on hype. Honestly, chasing the "first-day pop" is a recipe for disaster in this environment.

  1. Watch the "Lock-up" Expirations: For companies that went public in the spring (like Hinge Health or CoreWeave), their 180-day lock-up periods are ending. This usually means a flood of shares hits the market, which can drive the price down. That’s often a better entry point than the IPO day itself.
  2. Follow the Lead Managers: Look at who is underwriting the deal. When you see Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs leading a ₹11,000 crore listing like LG Electronics India, it usually signals a level of institutional vetting you won't find in smaller, speculative SPACs.
  3. Check the S-1 for "Profitability Paths": If a company is still losing money, look for the specific year they claim they'll break even. If it’s more than 24 months away, the current market will probably punish them.
  4. Diversify Internationally: Don't just look at the US. The Indian IPO pipeline is the strongest it's been in years. If you have access to international markets, companies like Tata Capital represent a level of scale that domestic tech startups just can't match right now.

The ipo news today oct 2025 tells us that the "window" is open, but it’s only open for the best of the best. The days of "growth at any cost" are over, replaced by a cold, hard focus on margins. If you want to win, you have to look past the ticker symbol and read the balance sheet. It’s boring, yeah, but it’s how you actually make money.