Mark Zuckerberg has a way of making people feel very smart or very foolish, and usually, there is no in-between. If you bought Meta back in late 2022 when everyone was screaming that the metaverse was a multi-billion dollar bonfire, you’re likely sitting on a massive gain. But looking toward the next decade requires a different kind of lens. We aren't just talking about social media anymore. Honestly, the meta stock price prediction 2030 conversation has shifted entirely away from avatars and toward something much more industrial: artificial intelligence infrastructure.
The numbers are getting weird. In early 2026, Meta is no longer just "the Facebook company." It’s effectively a sovereign-scale compute power house.
The $3 Trillion Question
Can Meta join the $3 trillion club by the time we hit 2030? Some analysts at The Motley Fool and Nasdaq think so. To get there, the company basically needs to maintain a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 10.8%. That sounds doable until you realize the sheer scale of the math involved.
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Currently, the stock is hovering around the low $600s, recovering from a rocky start to 2026. If you look at the 2030 projections from firms like Trefis and various Nasdaq contributors, the price targets for the end of the decade generally land in a band between **$1,080 and $1,460 per share**.
How do they get there? It’s a mix of two things:
- Earnings per share (EPS) growing at 12–15% annually.
- The market being willing to pay a P/E multiple of about 25x for those earnings.
If Meta hits $50 in annual EPS by 2030—which isn't crazy given they are already tracking toward $30—and the market keeps its current "AI premium" on the stock, $1,250 per share becomes the baseline, not the ceiling.
Why the Metaverse "Failure" Was a Head Fake
Remember the $70 billion loss? Reality Labs has been a punching bag for years. In early 2026, the narrative has flipped. Meta recently slashed the Reality Labs budget by about 30%, cutting over 1,000 jobs to focus on "AI wearables" rather than just VR headsets.
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Investors loved it. The stock jumped.
The pivot toward the "Meta Compute" initiative—basically building massive data centers to power Llama and other AI models—is what actually drives the meta stock price prediction 2030 now. Zuckerberg is reportedly aiming for 1.3 million GPUs by the end of this year. That is a terrifying amount of processing power. It’s no longer about whether people want to hang out in Horizon Worlds; it’s about whether Meta can use that compute to make every ad on Instagram 10% more effective.
The Energy-Compute Nexus
Here is the detail most people are missing. To fuel this 2030 growth, Meta has started signing deals for nuclear power. They’ve been in talks with companies like Oklo and TerraPower.
Why? Because you can't run a $3 trillion AI company on a shaky power grid.
By 2030, Meta’s value might be tied more to its physical infrastructure—data centers and energy contracts—than to how many people are clicking "Like" on a photo. This "industrialization" of advertising through AI is the "toll booth" model that institutional giants like BlackRock are betting on.
Risks That Could Kill the Rally
It’s not all sunshine. The risks are heavy:
- Regulatory Overhang: Europe’s Digital Markets Act is a constant thorn.
- CapEx Burn: Meta is planning to spend upwards of $100 billion on capital expenditures in 2026 alone. If that doesn't turn into clear revenue by 2028, shareholders will revolt again.
- The "Ad-Free" Threat: If more regions follow the EU's lead in demanding ad-free subscription tiers, the high-margin ad model could crack.
What Really Happens in 2030?
If you're looking for a specific number, the consensus midpoint for the meta stock price prediction 2030 sits around $1,270.
But don't expect a straight line. Meta is a high-beta stock; it swings wider than the market. You've got to be okay with 20% drawdowns if you want the 100% gains. The core of the 2030 thesis is that WhatsApp finally becomes a "super app" through AI agents. If WhatsApp starts taking a cut of every transaction made through its business messaging, the current revenue projections will look like conservative jokes.
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Practical Steps for Investors
- Watch the Operating Margin: If it stays above 35% despite the massive AI spending, the bull case is alive.
- Monitor WhatsApp Monetization: This is the "hidden" growth lever for the 2030 timeframe.
- Track GPU Clusters: Follow the "Meta Compute" updates; the company's value is increasingly becoming a proxy for its total computing power.
- Diversify Within Tech: Don't let one ticker dominate your portfolio, even if you believe in the "superintelligence" pivot.
The "Year of Efficiency" is over, and the "Year of Superintelligence" has begun. Whether Meta hits $1,400 or stalls at $800 depends entirely on if Zuck can turn those millions of GPUs into a better bottom line than the old-school social media feed ever could.