The US Budget: Why the Trillions Don't Actually Make Sense to Most People

The US Budget: Why the Trillions Don't Actually Make Sense to Most People

Money at the federal level is weird. If you look at your bank account and see a few thousand dollars, you know exactly what that buys. Maybe a used car or a few months of rent. But when we start asking how big is the US budget, the numbers get so large they basically become abstract art. We are talking about trillions. Not billions—trillions.

In fiscal year 2024, the federal government spent about $6.75 trillion. To give you some perspective, if you spent $1 every single second, it would take you about 31,700 years to reach $1 trillion. The US government does that six times over every year. It's massive. It’s a giant, complex machine that takes in tax revenue and spits out checks for everything from fighter jets to Grandma's heart medication. Honestly, it’s a miracle the plumbing works at all.

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Most people think the budget is just one big pile of cash that Congress fights over every January. That’s not really how it goes.

Where the Money Actually Goes (Hint: It’s Not Where You Think)

When people scream about "government waste," they usually point to things like foreign aid or art grants. While those are favorite punching bags on cable news, they are tiny. Rounding errors, really. If you want to understand how big is the US budget, you have to look at the "Big Three."

Social Security, Medicare, and Defense. That’s the ballgame.

Social Security is the heavyweight champion. In 2024, it accounted for roughly $1.46 trillion. It’s a "mandatory" program, meaning Congress doesn't even vote on it every year. It just happens. If you qualify, you get paid. Then you have Medicare, which hit about $874 billion. Between those two and other health programs like Medicaid, you’re looking at nearly half the entire budget just on health and retirement.

Then there’s the military. The Department of Defense requested $842 billion for 2024. That’s more than the next nine countries combined. We spend it on personnel, hardware, and keeping about 750 bases open across the globe. When you add in veterans' benefits and other defense-related costs, the "security" slice of the pie is astronomical.

The Debt Interest Trap

Here is the scary part that nobody liked talking about until recently. Interest. For a long time, interest rates were basically zero, so borrowing trillions was "cheap." Not anymore. In 2024, the US spent more on interest payments for its debt—roughly $892 billion—than it did on the entire national defense budget.

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Read that again.

We are paying more to "rent" the money we already spent than we are paying to protect the country. This is a relatively new phenomenon driven by the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes. It’s a massive drain. It’s money that doesn't go to schools, roads, or research; it just goes back to the people and countries (like Japan and China) that hold our bonds.

Mandatory vs. Discretionary: The Great Divide

The budget is split into two very different buckets. This is where the confusion starts.

Mandatory spending is on autopilot. This includes Social Security, Medicare, and interest on the debt. It accounts for about 73% of everything we spend. Congress doesn't pass a bill every year to fund these; the laws are already on the books. Short of a massive legislative overhaul—which is political suicide—this money is going out the door no matter what.

Discretionary spending is the remaining 27%. This is the part Congress actually "debates." It’s where the "government shutdowns" happen. It covers the FBI, NASA, the Parks Service, the Department of Education, and, yes, the military.

Think about that. All the stuff we associate with "the government" operating day-to-day is crammed into a tiny corner of the budget.

The Revenue Gap: Why We Keep Borrowing

The US doesn't actually have enough money to cover its bills. It's like a household earning $50,000 a year but spending $70,000 and putting the rest on a credit card every single year for decades.

In 2024, the federal government took in about $4.92 trillion in revenue. Most of that—about 49%—comes from individual income taxes. Another 36% comes from payroll taxes (those FICA deductions on your paycheck). Corporate taxes only account for about 10%.

So, if we took in $4.9 trillion but spent $6.7 trillion, where did the other $1.8 trillion come from? We borrowed it. That’s the annual deficit. When you stack all those yearly deficits together, you get the National Debt, which is currently screaming past $34 trillion.

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People ask if this is sustainable. Economists like Stephanie Kelton (Modern Monetary Theory) argue that as long as we print our own currency, we can’t "go broke" in the traditional sense. But more traditional hawks like those at the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget warn that eventually, the interest payments will eat the entire budget alive. Both sides have a point, but the math is getting tighter every year.

Real World Impact: Why You Should Care

It’s easy to tune this out. Trillions are just numbers with too many zeros. But how big is the US budget affects your daily life in ways that aren't always obvious.

When the budget is this big and the deficit is this high, it puts upward pressure on inflation. More money flowing out of the Treasury can mean more dollars chasing fewer goods. It also affects interest rates for your mortgage. If the government has to offer higher interest to get people to buy its bonds, banks will charge you more to borrow for a house or a car.

Also, look at the "crowding out" effect. If we are spending $900 billion on interest, that’s $900 billion that isn't going toward fixing the I-95 bridge or funding cancer research. We are essentially paying for the past instead of investing in the future.

The Complexity of "The Cliff"

Every few months, we hear about the "Debt Ceiling." This is a weird American quirk. Most countries authorize spending and the borrowing that comes with it at the same time. The US does it separately. We "buy the meal" (pass the budget) and then later debate if we should "pay the credit card bill" (raise the debt ceiling).

It’s a bizarre game of chicken. If the US ever actually defaulted, the global financial system would likely melt down because US Treasury bonds are considered the "risk-free" foundation of the world economy.

Breaking Down the "Waste" Myth

You’ll often hear politicians say we can balance the budget by cutting "waste, fraud, and abuse."

Sure, there’s waste. The GAO (Government Accountability Office) finds billions in improper payments every year. But even if you found $100 billion in waste—which would be an incredible feat—you’d still be over $1.5 trillion short of a balanced budget.

The reality is that to make the budget smaller, you have to touch the stuff people love. You have to cut Social Security, reduce Medicare benefits, or slash the military. There is no "magic button" that cuts spending without hurting a major constituency. That’s why the budget keeps getting bigger. It’s politically easier to borrow than it is to say "no" to voters.

Actionable Steps: How to Track and React

Understanding the scale of the federal budget is the first step toward being a more informed citizen (and investor). Here is what you should actually do with this information:

  • Monitor the CBO (Congressional Budget Office): They are the non-partisan "referees" of the budget. Their "Budget and Economic Outlook" reports are the gold standard for seeing where we are actually headed.
  • Watch Interest Rates: If the "Interest on Debt" line item continues to climb, expect more volatility in the bond market. This affects your 401(k) and any fixed-income investments.
  • Look at "Tax Expenditures": These are basically "hidden" spending. Things like the mortgage interest deduction or employer-sponsored health insurance tax breaks cost the government over $1 trillion in lost revenue. If the government ever gets serious about the deficit, these "tax breaks" are usually the first thing on the chopping block.
  • Diversify Your Assets: Given the long-term debt trajectory, keeping some assets in inflation-protected securities (TIPS) or hard assets can be a hedge against the potential devaluation of the dollar.
  • Vote on Substance: When a politician says they will balance the budget without touching Social Security or Defense, they are lying. The math doesn't work. Hold them accountable for the "Big Three" spending categories.

The US budget is a $6.7 trillion monster that shows no signs of shrinking. It is the largest single spending force in the history of the world. While the sheer size is terrifying to some and a tool for growth to others, it remains the primary driver of the global economy. Understanding the divide between what we spend on the past (interest and Social Security) versus what we spend on the future is the key to seeing where the country is actually going.