Honestly, if you're looking at the valencia 10 day forecast and expecting a straightforward "sunny with a chance of tapas" vibe, you might be in for a surprise. Valencia in January is a bit of a mood. One minute you're sitting in the Turia Gardens with your jacket off, soaking up a weirdly warm 18°C sun, and the next, a damp wind kicks up from the Balearic Sea that makes you regret every life choice that didn't involve a heavy wool sweater.
Right now, we are looking at a classic mid-winter stretch.
Today, Thursday, January 15, 2026, it's mostly just gray. The high is hanging around 17°C (62°F), which sounds decent on paper, but the humidity is sitting at 62%. That dampness has a way of crawling under your skin. Tonight, the clouds aren't going anywhere, and we’re looking at a low of 7°C (44°F). If you're out late in El Carmen, you'll definitely feel that bite.
The Upcoming Week: Rain and Rising Winds
The big shift starts tomorrow. Friday, January 16, brings in some light rain. It's not a deluge—think more of a persistent drizzle that makes the tiles in the Plaza de la Reina dangerously slick. The chance of rain jumps to 45% by Friday night.
Weekend Outlook (Jan 17 - Jan 18)
- Saturday: This is probably the "stay inside and eat arroz al horno" day. Highs will struggle to hit 13°C (55°F). We’re looking at a 65% chance of rain in the evening.
- Sunday: The rain sticks around for the morning. It’s coming from the northeast, bringing a gusty 11 km/h wind that makes the "real feel" significantly lower than the actual temp.
People often forget that Valencia is basically a giant bowl next to the water.
When the wind comes off the sea (the Levante), it brings all that moisture with it. By Monday, January 19, the rain chances drop back down to 20% during the day, but the clouds are being stubborn. You might see a peek of sun, but don't bet the farm on it.
Tuesday, January 20, looks like the wettest day of the entire valencia 10 day forecast. Current models are showing a 75% chance of showers. We're also seeing a spike in wind speed, hitting about 23 km/h from the northeast. This is that "sideways rain" territory.
What's Driving This Mess?
If you've lived here a while, you know about the DANA (Depresión Aislada en Niveles Altos). While we aren't seeing a catastrophic "cold drop" event right now, the atmospheric instability over the Mediterranean is what makes the 10-day outlook so jumpy.
🔗 Read more: Only You Hotel Atocha Madrid Spain: Why It Actually Lives Up to the Hype
The sea is warmer than it used to be.
This adds energy to the air. Even a minor cold front from the north can trigger a localized downpour that the official forecasts sometimes miss until the last hour. Meteorologists at AEMET (the Spanish state weather agency) often have to update these projections every six hours because the Mediterranean is just that volatile.
By Wednesday, January 21, the system starts to break. The highs stay cool—around 13°C—but the sun should finally start winning the battle against the cloud cover.
The Second Half of the Forecast
- Thursday (Jan 22): Light rain lingers (25% chance), but the wind dies down.
- Friday (Jan 23): Mostly cloudy. A very "meh" day with a high of 14°C.
- Saturday (Jan 24): Finally, some clarity. The clouds clear out by nightfall, dropping the temp to a chilly 5°C (41°F).
The "Real" Valencia Winter Experience
A lot of tourists see "16 degrees" and pack t-shirts. Big mistake.
The buildings here are designed to keep heat out. In January, the inside of a traditional Valencian apartment is often colder than the street. You'll see locals walking around in massive puffer coats even when it’s sunny. Why? Because the moment you step into the shade of a narrow alleyway, the temperature drops five degrees instantly.
Also, the Turia riverbed has its own microclimate. Since it’s lower than the rest of the city, cold air settles there at night. If you're planning a morning run on the 10th or 11th day of this cycle, expect some mist and a very crisp start.
Practical Advice for the Next 10 Days
Don't trust the "sunny" icons blindly. If the valencia 10 day forecast shows even a 20% chance of rain, bring a small umbrella. The rain here tends to be "showery"—it stops and starts with no warning.
💡 You might also like: What Day Is It In Hawaii? Why Most Mainland Calendars Are Wrong
Layering is your best friend.
A light down vest or a windbreaker is perfect for the midday sun, but you'll want a real coat for the evenings. If you're heading to the Albufera to see the sunset, remember that the wind across the lake is brutal this time of year.
Next Steps for Your Trip:
Check the AEMET "Radar" section about three hours before any outdoor plans. It is significantly more accurate than the long-range icons for pinpointing exactly when a rain band will hit the city center versus the coastal ports. If Tuesday’s heavy rain holds true, use that day for the Ciudad de las Artes y las Ciencias—most of the exhibits are indoors and it’s a great way to dodge the wind.