Why the Drew Lock Game Log Still Matters for NFL QB Desperate Teams

Why the Drew Lock Game Log Still Matters for NFL QB Desperate Teams

He was the horse-trotting, high-stepping gunslinger from Mizzou who was supposed to save the Denver Broncos. Then, he was the backup in Seattle who almost stunned the Eagles on a rainy Monday night. If you’re digging through the drew lock game log, you aren’t just looking at stats; you’re looking at one of the most polarizing "what if" careers in recent NFL memory.

Lock is a rollercoaster. There is no middle ground with him.

Looking at the numbers from his rookie year in 2019, you see a kid who went 4-1 as a starter. He looked like the franchise. Then 2020 happened. He led the league in interceptions. He got benched, traded, and basically forgotten until that 92-yard drive against Philadelphia in 2023 reminded everyone why he’s still in the league.

The Highs and Lows of the Denver Era

The 2020 season is the meat of any drew lock game log analysis. It’s where the "Drew Lock Experience" really lived. He finished that year with 16 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Honestly, those numbers are kind of generous. If you watch the tape from the Week 10 game against the Raiders, he threw four picks. It was ugly. But then, literally a month later against the Panthers, he went 21-for-27 with four touchdowns and zero picks.

That’s the Lock enigma.

He has the arm talent that scouts drool over. He can make throws off his back foot that only a handful of humans can pull off. But the decision-making? It’s been his Achilles' heel since college. In 2020, his completion percentage was a dismal 57.3%. In a modern NFL where 65% is the baseline for "serviceable," that's a tough pill to swallow.

The Broncos eventually moved on, bringing in Teddy Bridgewater and then swinging the massive (and ultimately disastrous) trade for Russell Wilson. Lock was the "throw-in" piece in the Seattle trade. Most people thought he was done.

Seattle and the Rebirth of a Backup

When Lock got to Seattle, he lost the starting job to Geno Smith. Most guys would have pouted. Lock didn't. He sat. He learned.

If you look at his 2023 game log, it’s mostly "DNP" (Did Not Play) until Week 14. Geno got hurt. Lock had to step in against the 49ers and then the Eagles. The Eagles game is the one people talk about. He went 22-of-33 for 208 yards. Not "video game" numbers, right? But it was the way he played. He was poised. He didn't force the hero ball that defined his time in Denver.

He drove the Seahawks 92 yards in the final minutes to win the game. That single performance probably bought him another five years of NFL paychecks. It proved he could handle the pressure without the catastrophic turnovers.

Breaking Down the Statistical Anomalies

There are weird quirks in the drew lock game log that tell a deeper story. For example, Lock has always been significantly better in the fourth quarter when the "leash" is off. In Denver, he often looked tight in the first half, trying to stick to a script that didn't fit his "gunslinger" DNA.

When things get chaotic? That’s when he shines.

Touchdown-to-Interception Ratios

In his 20s, Lock was a turnover machine. Between 2020 and 2021, he had a stretch where he threw at least one interception in seven straight games. That’s how you lose a locker room. However, his stint in Seattle showed a different version. In 2023, he threw 3 touchdowns to 3 interceptions over four appearances. It’s still a bit "yolo," but the context matters. He was playing with a rotating offensive line and coming off the bench cold.

Completion Percentage Over Expected (CPOE)

Advanced metrics from Next Gen Stats often showed Lock having a high "aggressiveness" rating. This means he throws into tight windows more often than almost anyone else. It’s high-risk, high-reward. In 2020, he led the league in intended air yards. He wasn't checking it down. He was hunting for the big play.

The Giants Move and the Future

Now that Lock has moved on to the New York Giants, the drew lock game log is likely to grow as a "bridge" or "relief" quarterback. Brian Daboll is a guy who likes aggressive passers. Look at what he did with Josh Allen. Now, Lock isn't Josh Allen, let’s be real. But he has that similar "let it rip" mentality.

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If Daniel Jones struggles or gets hurt, Lock is the ultimate "break glass in case of emergency" option. He’s better than your average backup because he can actually win a game with his arm. He can also lose it for you, which is why he’s a backup.

What Scouts See When They Look at the Log

When NFL front offices evaluate Lock, they aren't just looking at the 28 career interceptions. They're looking at the velocity. They see a guy who, according to Pro Football Focus (PFF), has a "Big Time Throw" rate that rivaled some top-10 starters during his peak stretches.

The issue is the "Turnover Worthy Plays."

Lock has a tendency to trust his arm too much. He thinks he can squeeze a ball through three defenders because he knows he has the power to get it there. Usually, he’s wrong. But when he’s right? It’s a 40-yard beauty that ends up on every highlight reel.

Key Insights from Specific Games

  • Dec 29, 2019 vs. Raiders: The "Hope" Game. He was efficient, used his legs, and looked like the future.
  • Dec 13, 2020 vs. Panthers: The "Peak" Game. 4 TDs, 149.5 passer rating. This is the ceiling.
  • Nov 15, 2020 vs. Raiders: The "Floor" Game. 4 INTs. This is why Denver gave up on him.
  • Dec 18, 2023 vs. Eagles: The "Maturity" Game. Game-winning drive, 0 turnovers.

Analyzing the drew lock game log reveals a player who is caught between two worlds. He’s too good to be out of the league, but he’s been too inconsistent to be "The Guy." For fantasy football owners or betting enthusiasts, he's a "streamer" nightmare. For an NFL team, he's the best insurance policy you can buy if you have a boring offense that needs a spark.

To truly understand Lock’s value moving forward, keep an eye on his "Adjusted Completion Percentage." This stat removes drops by receivers. In Seattle, this number jumped significantly, suggesting that while the raw box score looked average, his actual ball placement had improved since his early days in Colorado.

Next Steps for Evaluation:

  1. Compare Pressure Ratings: Watch how Lock performs when the pocket collapses versus when he has a clean look. His career passer rating drops nearly 30 points under pressure.
  2. Red Zone Efficiency: Check the 2024-2025 preseason and regular season data for his Red Zone TD-to-INT ratio. This is where he historically struggles by forcing "hero" throws.
  3. Scheme Fit: Evaluate his performance in 11-personnel (3 wide receivers) versus 12-personnel. He historically thrives with more targets on the field to stretch the secondary.